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    In Depth Investing: 7978 Angler Attack


    The 7978 Angler Attack is a small set. The set has 200 pieces, with a retail price of $19.99 USD. This makes the Price Per Piece (PPP) ten cents per piece. Some times the PPP ratio is not accurate, so here is the Price Per Gram (PPG) ratio. The set has a weight of 0.32 kg, which is 320 grams. Since there is 200 pieces in the set, the PPG ratio is $0.0625 USD per gram.

    The set has two minifigures (Jeff Fisher and Barracuda Guardian), one of which is a rare minifigure, Jeff Fisher. The set also included a camera, a trident, a deep sea jet with a harpoon and grabbing claws, and the angler fish with moving fins and tail.

    The set was released in late 2010/early 2011 and the set was retired in late 2011. The set was available on the primary market for about a year. Some stores may have had the set longer due to higher prices which would have made it available longer in the primary market, but not for long.

    The 7978 Angler Attack is the best set for investing from the Atlantis theme. Although the Atlantis theme has overall Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -2.67%, this set has a better CAGR. The set has a CAGR of 16.61%. That is 19.28% above the overall CAGR for the Atlantis theme. Let's look at some simple charts showing the sold listings and the sales trends for the new sets over the past year. Sold Listings:

    • June 2012: 6
    • July 2012: 13
    • August 2012: 6
    • September 2012: 9
    • October 2012: 3
    • November 2012: 5
    • December 2012: 11
    • January 2013: 6
    • February 2013: 5
    • March 2013: 7
    • April 2013: 4
    • May 2013: 5

    Over the past year, there has been eighty (80) 7978 Angler Attack sets sold. This means the average sets sold new per month is about seven (7) sets. All this data shows that there is interest in the set, thus making it a potential investment. What makes it a worthy investment is if people are willing to pay more for the same set. Here is another chart chowing the sales trend for the new sets sold over the past years.

    Sales Trend:

    • June 2012: $22.35 USD
    • July 2012: $20.68 USD
    • August 2012: $21.56 USD
    • September 2012: $23.39 USD
    • October 2012: $23.41 USD
    • November 2012: $24.12 USD
    • December 2012: $25.35 USD
    • January 2013: $25.53 USD
    • February 2013: $25.06 USD
    • March 2013: $25.60 USD
    • April 2013: $27.88 USD
    • May 2013: $27.18 USD

    Over the past year, the set has increased in $4.83 USD in value. Over this year the Return On Investment (ROI) is 24.16% for this year. The ROI for the set on its retail value is 35.97%. These are both very good ROI. From this chart, the set has been growing in value as time goes on. The average increase per month for this set is forty cents ($0.40 USD). I can see this set going in the price range of $30-$40 USD in the future.

    My recommendation is to buy the set, but I would buy the set lower than what it is valued at. Even though the set is a good investment, you should always be prepared for the value to go down. Hopefully that will not happen, but it is always possible. The set has a good CAGR that is above the average CAGR for the Atlantis theme. The set also has a high ROI for this year at nearly 25%. From all this information, I would buy this set myself to invest in.

    Thanks for reading!
     

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