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  • In Depth LEGO Investing: 10193 Medieval Market Village


    MartinP

    The 10193 Medieval Market Village is one of the larger sets from the castle theme. The set has 1,601 pieces. Since the set has a retail price of $99.99 USD, the Price Per Piece (PPP) ratio is six cents ($0.06 USD) per piece. I also use another ratio called the Price Per Gram (PPG) ratio. The set has a weight of for this set is 1.905 kilograms, or 1,905 grams, so the ratio is about five cents ($0.0525 USD) per gram.

    The set has eight minifigures. They are two Crown Knights, a maid, a blacksmith, a female peasant, an old male peasant, a young male peasant, and a peasant child.

    The set was released in late 2008/early 2009 and the set was retired in early 2013. This means the set was on the primary market for about four years. There may still be sets on store shelves waiting to be sold due to higher prices.

    Currently, the set has a Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.54%, which is decent. The castle theme has a CAGR of 9.92%. This means the set is 1.38% under the average CAGR for its theme. Also, the average CAGR for all the themes is 11.36%. That means the set is 2.82% under the average CAGR for all the themes. This is not bad at all, but I prefer a set that has a CAGR higher than its theme and the overall CAGR, but it still may be a great investment. Now, let's look at a chart showing the monthly sold listings for the set new.

    • June 2012: 13
    • July 2012: 7
    • August 2012: 6
    • September 2012: 39
    • October 2012: 13
    • November 2012: 27
    • December 2012: 76
    • January 2013: 109
    • February 2013: 38
    • March 2013: 48
    • April 2013: 28
    • May 2013: 21

    According to the chart, there were 425 sets sold in the past year, which is about thirty-five (35) sets a month. Almost half the sets sold this past year were sold during the holiday season during the months of December and January. But, there might have been a lot of sets sold in January because it retired in January 2013. Now, here is another chart showing the monthly sales trend for the set.

    • June 2012: $111.56 USD
    • July 2012: $112.94 USD
    • August 2012: $111.25 USD
    • September 2012: $101.82 USD
    • October 2012: $94.77 USD
    • November 2012: $96.15 USD
    • December 2012: $93.89 USD
    • January 2013: $104.39 USD
    • February 2013: $118.82 USD
    • March 2013: $129.40 USD
    • April 2013: $132.71 USD
    • May 2013: $138.76 USD

    This chart has two parts to it, which are before and after the set was retired. According to brickset.com the set was retired on January 13, 2013. I will analyze both sections of the chart, beginning with before the set was retired. Before the set was retired the set was on a downward trend. The set had kept on going down in value over seven months. The set lost a total value of $17.67 USD over seven months, which is about $2.52 USD per month. The set hit its all time low for the year in December 2012 when the set had a value of $93.89 USD. After the set was retired, the set jumped from $93.89 USD in December 2012 to $104.39 in January 2013. That is an increase of $10.50 USD in one month. Then the set jumped in value again, the set has a value of $118.82 in February 2013. That is an increase of $14.43 USD from the previous month and an increase of $24.93 since the set was retired. Now, the set continues to grow. The recent retirement of the set has made it a great investing choice.

    Now, the set has a current value of $138.76 USD, which is up 4.56% from the past month. The set has a Return On Investment (ROI) of 39%, which is good because of the recent EOL.

    I would recommend to buy this set. The set has a great investing potential and it has a positive growth trend dues to its recent EOL. Also, the set has a decent CAGR of 8.54% that may increase in the near future and a decent ROI of 39% that may also get better. Overall, I think the set has many great potential investing factors.

    Thanks for reading!




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